Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 110.676507 122.659443 135.008374 148.658115 163.295311 178.493249 195.438914
2024-10-20 88.832860 106.121723 124.889403 146.658081 171.092669 197.555768 228.262620
2024-10-27 72.685775 93.374811 116.969663 145.573810 179.009922 216.561531 261.617202
2024-11-03 63.181752 86.769267 114.894078 150.332393 193.208965 242.833289 304.008087
2024-11-10 54.886356 80.396732 112.126223 153.555673 205.257363 266.699376 344.232443
2024-11-17 48.460090 75.444372 110.350344 157.419900 217.791531 291.202207 385.703444
2024-11-24 43.514753 71.745524 109.615663 162.191826 231.282673 316.991472 429.228454
2024-12-01 35.920475 63.368546 101.772753 156.875488 231.259282 325.564775 451.351079
2024-12-08 30.520391 57.433618 96.606208 154.528846 234.624013 338.136222 478.426713
2024-12-15 26.979621 53.844267 94.352524 155.847622 242.658648 356.685906 513.308093
2024-12-22 24.192209 51.075614 92.984131 158.168729 251.931049 376.893920 550.586349
2024-12-29 22.655902 50.178193 94.297415 164.306638 266.554979 404.429943 597.890440
2025-01-05 20.588491 48.180212 93.832652 167.905950 277.916514 428.156619 641.130232
2025-01-12 17.787266 44.480882 90.334757 166.683595 282.266446 442.403361 672.019700
2025-01-19 15.450860 41.303389 87.385765 166.054412 287.337000 457.656664 704.490924
2025-01-26 14.406077 40.524483 88.393170 171.630138 301.667741 486.070075 755.360260
2025-02-02 13.183498 39.195928 88.309151 175.381290 313.298895 510.851283 801.610593
2025-02-09 12.177318 38.173115 88.649015 179.758888 325.907164 537.170751 850.316120
2025-02-16 11.387506 37.513737 89.572474 185.088004 340.057191 565.909617 902.790587
2025-02-23 9.355117 33.596415 84.078095 179.267956 336.639096 569.079200 919.347557
2025-03-02 7.949482 30.905393 80.641279 176.702422 338.114879 579.265616 945.825359
2025-03-09 7.102209 29.487708 79.571728 178.171184 345.978413 598.927154 986.011797
2025-03-16 6.439435 28.442519 79.154626 180.739684 355.625748 621.351215 1030.421746